Jerez vs CD Diocesano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
7º
13º
12º
24
2º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
22 | 75 |
1º
|
55.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 70 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 67 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 67 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
25 | 63 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 62 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 46 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 45 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 43 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 41 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 41 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 36 |
13º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 34 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 32 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
17º
|
6 | 28 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 18 |
18º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 72.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
86% | 19% |
|
Relegation
|
14% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
AZU
4 - 1
JER
66%
20%
14%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
JER
3 - 1
CAS
37%
25%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TRU
2 - 2
JER
34%
25%
40%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
JER
3 - 0
PUE
37%
25%
38%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 3
JER
30%
24%
46%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Diocesano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
CDD
2 - 0
SAM
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 1
CDD
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CDD
2 - 3
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 2
CDD
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 0
MOR
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |