Jerez vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
13º
12º
14
5º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
31 | 71 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 71 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 65 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 64 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 62 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 60 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 46 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 43 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 42 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
19 | 41 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 40 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 38 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 33 |
15º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 26 |
16º
|
22% | |
|
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
29.5% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 26 |
18º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ADL
2 - 0
JER
78%
15%
7%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
JER
1 - 2
ADL
14%
22%
64%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JER
0 - 1
OLI
40%
27%
34%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CDD
3 - 0
JER
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
JER
2 - 1
CAS
31%
25%
45%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ARR
1 - 0
SAM
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ARR
5 - 0
AMA
54%
25%
21%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MOR
2 - 0
ARR
64%
21%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARR
0 - 2
PUE
34%
26%
41%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ARR
0 - 2
OLI
39%
26%
35%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |