J2 League round 14

JEF United vs Albirex Niigata analysis

JEF United Albirex Niigata
58 ELO 58
14.6% Tilt 7.4%
1156º General ELO ranking 452º
26º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
55.5%
JEF United
23.5%
Draw
21.1%
Albirex Niigata

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
JEF United
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.1%
Win probability
Albirex Niigata
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
JEF United
+2%
-3%
Albirex Niigata

ELO progression

JEF United
Albirex Niigata
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

JEF United
JEF United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2018
OMI
Omiya Ardija
0 - 1
JEF United
JEF
62%
23%
16%
58 71 13 0
03 May. 2018
JEF
JEF United
1 - 0
Fagiano Okayama
FAG
44%
26%
30%
58 63 5 0
28 Apr. 2018
VEN
Ventforet Kofu
1 - 1
JEF United
JEF
37%
29%
34%
58 60 2 0
22 Apr. 2018
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
3 - 1
JEF United
JEF
40%
26%
34%
58 57 1 0
15 Apr. 2018
JEF
JEF United
3 - 2
Machida Zelvia
MAC
37%
26%
37%
58 65 7 0

Matches

Albirex Niigata
Albirex Niigata
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2018
ALB
Albirex Niigata
3 - 2
FC Tokyo
FCT
15%
23%
62%
57 77 20 0
06 May. 2018
ALB
Albirex Niigata
1 - 2
Oita Trinita
OIT
28%
27%
45%
57 64 7 0
03 May. 2018
ZWE
Zweigen Kanazawa
2 - 3
Albirex Niigata
ALB
50%
26%
24%
56 58 2 +1
28 Apr. 2018
REN
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 - 2
Albirex Niigata
ALB
56%
24%
21%
56 57 1 0
22 Apr. 2018
ALB
Albirex Niigata
0 - 1
Omiya Ardija
OMI
20%
25%
55%
56 69 13 0