Ykkösliiga Temporada Regular round 19

JaPS vs Gnistan analysis

JaPS Gnistan
45 ELO 56
13.6% Tilt 17.7%
4183º General ELO ranking 2110º
27º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
23.4%
JaPS
23.3%
Draw
53.3%
Gnistan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.4%
Win probability
JaPS
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
53.3%
Win probability
Gnistan
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
JaPS
+8%
+13%
Gnistan

Points and table prediction

JaPS
Their league position
Gnistan
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
10º
48
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Gnistan
48
48
0%
Ekenäs IF
48
48
0%
Mikkelin Palloilijat
41
41
100%
TPS
40
40
100%
SJK Akatemia
39
39
100%
HIFK
30
30
100%
SalPa
26
26
100%
JaPS
21
21
0%
FF Jaro
21
21
0%
KaPa
10º
20
20
10º
100%
KPV
11º
15
15
11º
100%
JJK Jyväskylä
12º
12
12
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
JaPS
Gnistan
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
100% 0%

ELO progression

JaPS
Gnistan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

JaPS
JaPS
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2023
FFJ
FF Jaro
1 - 1
JaPS
JAP
58%
22%
20%
45 51 6 0
29 Jul. 2023
JAP
JaPS
2 - 3
HIFK
HIF
35%
26%
39%
46 51 5 -1
22 Jul. 2023
JAP
JaPS
0 - 3
KPV
KPV
54%
22%
24%
47 45 2 -1
14 Jul. 2023
MIK
Mikkelin Palloilijat
0 - 2
JaPS
JAP
65%
20%
15%
46 56 10 +1
09 Jul. 2023
EKE
Ekenäs IF
2 - 2
JaPS
JAP
62%
21%
18%
46 54 8 0

Matches

Gnistan
Gnistan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Aug. 2023
GNI
Gnistan
2 - 1
KPV
KPV
63%
21%
16%
55 47 8 0
30 Jul. 2023
MIK
Mikkelin Palloilijat
0 - 0
Gnistan
GNI
42%
25%
32%
55 56 1 0
23 Jul. 2023
GNI
Gnistan
0 - 3
TPS
TPS
38%
27%
35%
56 60 4 -1
19 Jul. 2023
FFJ
FF Jaro
2 - 2
Gnistan
GNI
35%
25%
41%
57 53 4 -1
15 Jul. 2023
EKE
Ekenäs IF
1 - 0
Gnistan
GNI
33%
25%
42%
58 53 5 -1