Jamaica vs USA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
46.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1999 |
CAN
1 - 0
JAM
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
GHA
2 - 1
JAM
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1999 |
JAM
0 - 4
KSA
32%
29%
39%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 1999 |
JAM
2 - 1
KSA
30%
30%
41%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1999 |
CUB
2 - 0
JAM
30%
26%
45%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
USA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 1999 |
USA
2 - 0
KSA
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
MEX
1 - 0
USA
64%
21%
16%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
USA
2 - 0
GER
18%
24%
59%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
BRA
1 - 0
USA
91%
7%
2%
|
87 | 99 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
NZL
1 - 2
USA
18%
25%
57%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |