Caribbean Cup 1ra Ronda round 3

Jamaica vs Haiti analysis

Jamaica Haiti
81 ELO 74
-11.6% Tilt -15%
659º General ELO ranking 1405º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.3%
Jamaica
23%
Draw
23.7%
Haiti

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
Jamaica
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
23.6%
Win probability
Haiti
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jamaica
+3%
+3%
Haiti

ELO progression

Jamaica
Haiti
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jamaica
Jamaica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2004
JAM
Jamaica
11 - 1
US Virgin Islands
VIR
91%
8%
1%
80 5 75 0
24 Nov. 2004
JAM
Jamaica
12 - 0
Saint Martin
MAF
91%
8%
1%
80 15 65 0
18 Nov. 2004
USA
USA
1 - 1
Jamaica
JAM
73%
18%
9%
80 92 12 0
14 Oct. 2004
JAM
Jamaica
0 - 0
El Salvador
SLV
64%
22%
14%
80 70 10 0
10 Oct. 2004
PAN
Panama
1 - 1
Jamaica
JAM
37%
28%
34%
80 74 6 0

Matches

Haiti
Haiti
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2004
HTI
Haiti
2 - 0
Saint Martin
MAF
93%
6%
1%
75 14 61 0
24 Nov. 2004
HTI
Haiti
11 - 0
US Virgin Islands
VIR
94%
5%
1%
75 5 70 0
18 Aug. 2004
HTI
Haiti
0 - 6
Brazil
BRA
11%
22%
67%
75 99 24 0
21 Jun. 2004
JAM
Jamaica
3 - 0
Haiti
HTI
52%
25%
23%
75 80 5 0
13 Jun. 2004
HTI
Haiti
1 - 1
Jamaica
JAM
44%
27%
29%
75 80 5 0