Jahn Regensburg II vs ASV Neumarkt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
13º
17º
16º
32
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 69 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 67 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 67 |
4º
|
36.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 53 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 51 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 51 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 50 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 46 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 42 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 42 |
12º
|
14% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 41 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
37% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 27 |
17º
|
69.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
13% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
86.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
TSV
3 - 1
JRE
53%
23%
25%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
JRE
6 - 0
FCC
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
JRE
2 - 0
BAY
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +3 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
REG
3 - 2
JRE
38%
21%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
JRE
6 - 0
FEU
90%
8%
3%
|
37 | 14 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Neumarkt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
ANS
2 - 1
NEU
70%
17%
14%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 4
DJK
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
EIC
3 - 0
NEU
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 2
ING
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 0
NEU
33%
25%
43%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |