Jaguares FC vs Pioneros de Cancún analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
7º
4º
20
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
20 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TCS
0 - 1
JAG
19%
25%
56%
|
75 | 7 | 68 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 1
IPC
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CFT
0 - 1
JAG
19%
25%
57%
|
74 | 9 | 65 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 1
RVC
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
JAG
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Pioneros de Cancún
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PDC
1 - 1
ZIT
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DEV
2 - 0
PDC
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TCS
0 - 3
PDC
15%
21%
65%
|
51 | 6 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PDC
2 - 1
IPC
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
CFT
3 - 1
PDC
15%
21%
64%
|
50 | 7 | 43 | 0 |