Jagodina vs Crvena Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
51.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagodina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 2
JAG
82%
13%
5%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
JAG
1 - 2
ČUK
45%
28%
28%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NAP
1 - 0
JAG
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 1
RAD
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BZR
2 - 0
JAG
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
CRV
3 - 0
HAJ
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
SLO
2 - 1
CRV
14%
22%
64%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
BEO
1 - 1
CRV
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CRV
2 - 0
BOR
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
JAV
1 - 0
CRV
23%
27%
50%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |