Jagiellonia II vs Korona Kielce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
78.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jagiellonia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 2
MVS
62%
19%
20%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 2
PGM
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LOM
2 - 1
JAG
13%
17%
70%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
USK
3 - 2
JAG
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 3
PBI
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Korona Kielce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
KOR
1 - 1
WLO
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
POG
3 - 1
KOR
56%
23%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CRA
0 - 0
KOR
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 0
ZAL
26%
26%
47%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
WAR
1 - 0
KOR
61%
21%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |