Jadran vs Mladost Ždralovi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
9º
16º
16º
27
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
3º
|
27 | 57 |
1º
|
25.5% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 56 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 54 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 54 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 51 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 50 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 50 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 46 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 38 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 37 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 34 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
22.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
10 | 25 |
15º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 25.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 23% |
|
Mid-table
|
6.5% | 51.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
86% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JAP
4 - 4
KUS
22%
25%
54%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 0
NKK
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 0
NKK
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
JAP
1 - 3
MAR
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
JAP
0 - 2
OPA
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Mladost Ždralovi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
MZL
3 - 1
TRN
72%
18%
11%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
KAR
2 - 3
MZL
35%
28%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
MZL
1 - 2
ZAG
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KUS
2 - 0
MZL
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MZL
0 - 0
SEG
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |