Jacobina vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
80.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.3%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
4%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacobina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 1
JEC
42%
26%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 1
JEC
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
3 - 0
GAL
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 1
BAH
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AEC
1 - 0
JEC
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
SER
1 - 2
VIT
12%
19%
69%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
JAC
87%
10%
3%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
VAS
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOT
82%
12%
5%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 1
VIT
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |