Jablonec II vs Sokol Živanice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
15º
14º
5
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
13 | 33 |
1º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 33 |
2º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 31 |
3º
|
26% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 30 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
1º
|
14 | 25 |
5º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 24 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 22 |
7º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 22 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 20 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 18 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 18 |
11º
|
6.5% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 18 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
6 | 17 |
14º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 17 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
5 | 16 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 14 |
17º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
76% | 71% |
|
Relegation
|
24% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jablonec II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FKC
1 - 1
JBN
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
JBN
1 - 3
BMS
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 3
JBN
47%
22%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
JBN
1 - 4
SOK
18%
24%
58%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -2 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FKP
3 - 1
JBN
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sokol Živanice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
FHR
0 - 2
SOK
11%
14%
76%
|
42 | 7 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SOK
0 - 2
SLI
46%
24%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SOK
1 - 1
KOL
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
ADM
3 - 3
SOK
30%
23%
47%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VYS
1 - 2
SOK
19%
21%
60%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |