Primera C Metro. PLAYOFFS ASCENSO Final
Global 2-2
Ituzaingó vs Argentino Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
ARM
2 - 0
ITU
44%
28%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 1
ITA
40%
29%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 0
ITU
45%
28%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 0
EXC
43%
28%
29%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 0
DOC
37%
29%
34%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Argentino Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2021 |
ARM
2 - 0
ITU
44%
28%
28%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
BER
0 - 0
ARM
33%
26%
42%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
ARM
1 - 0
BER
45%
26%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LAF
0 - 1
ARM
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
ARM
3 - 1
LAF
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |