Ituano vs Serra FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
12.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
ITU
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ITU
1 - 1
BRA
61%
24%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SER
1 - 5
ITU
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ITU
1 - 0
URT
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
ITU
0 - 1
SAO
18%
24%
59%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Serra FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
URT
55%
23%
21%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
URT
0 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SER
1 - 5
ITU
26%
27%
47%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 0
SER
50%
26%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |