Ituano vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
ITU
15%
23%
62%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
ITU
1 - 3
PAL
15%
23%
63%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
ITU
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
ITU
1 - 1
POR
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITU
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
AGU
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 1
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
COR
3 - 0
AGU
83%
14%
4%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AGU
1 - 3
FER
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |