Paulista A3 round 6

Itapirense vs Inter de Limeira analysis

Itapirense Inter de Limeira
49 ELO 48
-0.7% Tilt -16.1%
6962º General ELO ranking 2097º
295º Country ELO ranking 66º
ELO win probability
41.5%
Itapirense
24.2%
Draw
34.3%
Inter de Limeira

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
Itapirense
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.4%
Win probability
Inter de Limeira
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Itapirense
-8%
+27%
Inter de Limeira

ELO progression

Itapirense
Inter de Limeira
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Itapirense
Itapirense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2013
SER
Sertãozinho
1 - 1
Itapirense
ITA
47%
25%
27%
48 47 1 0
04 May. 2013
SAO
São Bento
2 - 0
Itapirense
ITA
52%
24%
23%
49 51 2 -1
27 Apr. 2013
ITA
Itapirense
0 - 0
São Bento
SAO
37%
24%
40%
49 51 2 0
25 Apr. 2013
ITA
Itapirense
2 - 1
Sertãozinho
SER
48%
24%
29%
48 47 1 +1
20 Apr. 2013
INT
Inter de Limeira
0 - 0
Itapirense
ITA
50%
25%
26%
48 49 1 0

Matches

Inter de Limeira
Inter de Limeira
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2013
INT
Inter de Limeira
3 - 0
São Bento
SAO
31%
26%
43%
47 52 5 0
05 May. 2013
SER
Sertãozinho
3 - 2
Inter de Limeira
INT
40%
26%
35%
48 46 2 -1
27 Apr. 2013
INT
Inter de Limeira
1 - 1
Sertãozinho
SER
46%
25%
29%
48 46 2 0
25 Apr. 2013
SAO
São Bento
2 - 1
Inter de Limeira
INT
47%
25%
28%
49 51 2 -1
20 Apr. 2013
INT
Inter de Limeira
0 - 0
Itapirense
ITA
50%
25%
26%
49 48 1 0