Itapipoca vs Crato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 0
TIR
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
LIM
3 - 1
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 2
FER
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
4 - 0
ITA
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 2
ITA
74%
16%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Crato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
LIM
1 - 3
CRA
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
CRA
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
0 - 1
CEA
14%
20%
66%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
HOR
3 - 2
CRA
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2011 |
CRA
1 - 1
GUA
29%
24%
47%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |