Italy U21 vs Israel U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
ENG
0 - 1
ITA
37%
24%
39%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 0
UKR
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
RUS
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 0
GER
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2012 |
ITA
1 - 3
ESP
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Israel U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2013 |
ISR
2 - 2
NOR
47%
24%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
ISR
1 - 0
SVK
56%
23%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ISR
1 - 2
GER
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ISR
1 - 2
NED
35%
26%
39%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
ISR
0 - 0
SRB
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |