Italy U20 vs Zambia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 2
ITA
51%
24%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
JPN
2 - 2
ITA
37%
25%
38%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
RSA
0 - 2
ITA
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 1
URU
33%
25%
42%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2017 |
ITA
0 - 0
VEN
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2017 |
ZAM
4 - 3
GER
27%
25%
49%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
CRC
1 - 0
ZAM
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
ZAM
4 - 2
IRN
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ZAM
2 - 1
POR
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
ZAM
4 - 1
HND
28%
24%
49%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +4 |