Italy U18s vs Bulgaria U18s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U18s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1992 |
POL
1 - 5
ITA
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1991 |
MLT
0 - 2
ITA
24%
27%
49%
|
54 | 7 | 47 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1991 |
ITA
2 - 2
DEU
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1991 |
DEU
0 - 0
ITA
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1991 |
ITA
0 - 0
ESP
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria U18s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1992 |
BGR
2 - 2
POL
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1992 |
POL
1 - 3
BGR
61%
22%
17%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
BGR
0 - 1
ROU
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
BGR
1 - 2
HUN
50%
26%
25%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1991 |
HUN
2 - 1
BGR
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |