AFC Cup Grupo D round 1

Istiklol Dushanbe vs FK Khujand analysis

Istiklol Dushanbe FK Khujand
54 ELO 42
17.6% Tilt 30.2%
9392º General ELO ranking 9579º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
73.3%
Istiklol Dushanbe
16.1%
Draw
10.7%
FK Khujand

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
Istiklol Dushanbe
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
10.7%
Win probability
FK Khujand
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Istiklol Dushanbe
+83%
+31%
FK Khujand

ELO progression

Istiklol Dushanbe
FK Khujand
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Istiklol Dushanbe
Istiklol Dushanbe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2020
ALA
Al-Ahli SFC
1 - 0
Istiklol Dushanbe
IST
83%
12%
5%
54 79 25 0
21 Jan. 2020
FKL
FK Lokomotiv Tashkent
0 - 1
Istiklol Dushanbe
IST
74%
16%
10%
53 74 21 +1
04 Nov. 2019
CSK
ZSKA Dushanbe
3 - 2
Istiklol Dushanbe
IST
6%
13%
82%
53 36 17 0
27 Oct. 2019
IST
Istiklol Dushanbe
2 - 1
FK Khujand
KHU
70%
18%
12%
53 44 9 0
20 Oct. 2019
PAN
Panjsher Balkh
2 - 4
Istiklol Dushanbe
IST
4%
10%
86%
53 23 30 0

Matches

FK Khujand
FK Khujand
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2020
KHU
FK Khujand
3 - 0
Neftchi
NEF
52%
25%
24%
42 39 3 0
19 Feb. 2020
NEF
Neftchi
1 - 0
FK Khujand
KHU
27%
25%
48%
43 38 5 -1
04 Nov. 2019
KHU
FK Khujand
0 - 1
FK Istaravshan
IST
72%
18%
11%
44 32 12 -1
27 Oct. 2019
IST
Istiklol Dushanbe
2 - 1
FK Khujand
KHU
70%
18%
12%
44 53 9 0
24 Oct. 2019
KHU
FK Khujand
3 - 1
FK Istaravshan
IST
72%
18%
11%
44 32 12 0