AFC Cup Grupo D round 1

Istiklol Dushanbe vs Ahal FT analysis

Istiklol Dushanbe Ahal FT
32 ELO 52
28.8% Tilt 14.1%
9429º General ELO ranking 3800º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
21.8%
Istiklol Dushanbe
21.1%
Draw
57.2%
Ahal FT

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
Istiklol Dushanbe
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
57.2%
Win probability
Ahal FT
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Istiklol Dushanbe
+85%
+22%
Ahal FT

ELO progression

Istiklol Dushanbe
Ahal FT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Istiklol Dushanbe
Istiklol Dushanbe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2018
IST
Istiklol Dushanbe
3 - 2
FK Khujand
KHU
60%
20%
20%
31 27 4 0
27 Nov. 2017
KHO
Khosilot Farkhor
1 - 3
Istiklol Dushanbe
IST
38%
22%
41%
29 27 2 +2
25 Nov. 2017
IST
Istiklol Dushanbe
2 - 0
ZSKA Dushanbe
CSK
74%
16%
11%
29 29 0 0
23 Nov. 2017
BAR
Barqchi Hisor
0 - 2
Istiklol Dushanbe
IST
46%
23%
32%
29 29 0 0
19 Nov. 2017
IST
Istiklol Dushanbe
2 - 2
Barqchi Hisor
BAR
71%
16%
13%
29 29 0 0

Matches

Ahal FT
Ahal FT
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2018
KHU
FK Khujand
0 - 2
Ahal FT
AHA
9%
18%
74%
52 28 24 0
13 Feb. 2018
AHA
Ahal FT
1 - 0
FK Khujand
KHU
83%
12%
5%
52 28 24 0
30 Jan. 2018
AHA
Ahal FT
2 - 2
Dordoi Bishkek
DBI
82%
12%
6%
53 30 23 -1
23 Jan. 2018
DBI
Dordoi Bishkek
1 - 3
Ahal FT
AHA
12%
19%
69%
52 31 21 +1
13 Dec. 2017
AHA
Ahal FT
1 - 1
Aşgabat
AGA
49%
24%
27%
52 52 0 0