Ismaily vs Al-Ahly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
29.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ismaily
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
PET
0 - 1
ISM
31%
28%
42%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
ISM
1 - 1
ALM
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ISM
0 - 0
HEL
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
SMO
0 - 0
ISM
39%
28%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2015 |
ISM
1 - 1
ELD
58%
26%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Ahly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ALA
2 - 0
APR
85%
12%
3%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
ALA
2 - 1
ELR
68%
21%
12%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
APR
0 - 2
ALA
10%
22%
69%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SET
1 - 1
ALA
49%
24%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
ELS
1 - 3
ALA
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |