Irapuato vs Halcones de Zapopan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
15º
4º
33
8º
17º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
94% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
6º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 56 |
8º
|
44% | |
|
9º
|
52 | 55 |
9º
|
73.5% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 49 |
11º
|
75.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
72% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
33 | 36 |
14º
|
39.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 32 |
15º
|
34% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 31 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
89.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
92.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
CAS
4 - 4
IRA
12%
21%
67%
|
71 | 12 | 59 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
IRA
1 - 1
LUL
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 44 | 28 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 0
IRA
28%
26%
47%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAZ
1 - 1
IRA
30%
25%
45%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
IRA
2 - 0
CAZ
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Halcones de Zapopan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
CSI
2 - 0
HDZ
67%
19%
14%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
HDZ
0 - 3
CFC
23%
24%
54%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HDZ
2 - 0
MIN
38%
24%
38%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ZAC
3 - 1
HDZ
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NAY
1 - 1
HDZ
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | +1 |