Asian Games Eliminatorias Last 16

Iran U23 vs Thailand U23 analysis

Iran U23 Thailand U23
55 ELO 45
0.4% Tilt -2.7%
34637º General ELO ranking 4969º
133º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
68.1%
Iran U23
19%
Draw
13%
Thailand U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
Iran U23
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
13%
Win probability
Thailand U23
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Iran U23
-9%
-33%
Thailand U23

ELO progression

Iran U23
Thailand U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Iran U23
Iran U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2023
IRN
Iran U23
3 - 0
Mongolia U23
MON
87%
10%
3%
54 23 31 0
21 Sep. 2023
IRN
Iran U23
4 - 0
Vietnam U23
VIE
57%
22%
21%
53 49 4 +1
19 Sep. 2023
KSA
Saudi Arabia U23
0 - 0
Iran U23
IRN
48%
25%
28%
53 56 3 0
01 Jun. 2022
IRN
Iran U23
1 - 1
Qatar U23
QAT
66%
18%
16%
53 45 8 0
27 May. 2022
IRQ
Iraq U23
3 - 1
Iran U23
IRN
52%
23%
26%
54 60 6 -1

Matches

Thailand U23
Thailand U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Sep. 2023
THA
Thailand U23
1 - 1
Kuwait U23
KWT
43%
25%
32%
45 44 1 0
21 Sep. 2023
THA
Thailand U23
0 - 4
South Korea U23
KOR
10%
20%
70%
46 68 22 -1
19 Sep. 2023
BHR
Baréin U23
1 - 1
Thailand U23
THA
33%
25%
42%
46 42 4 0
01 Sep. 2023
THA
Thailand U23
2 - 0
Singapur U22
SIN
74%
16%
10%
46 7 39 0
26 Aug. 2023
MAS
Malaysia U23
0 - 0
Thailand U23
THA
30%
23%
48%
46 41 5 0