Ipswich Town vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
ASV
6 - 1
IPS
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
IPS
0 - 2
NTT
54%
24%
22%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
IPS
1 - 0
BRI
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1978 |
LIV
2 - 2
IPS
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
EVE
1 - 0
IPS
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1978 |
ARS
1 - 0
MID
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
LIV
1 - 0
ARS
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1978 |
LEE
1 - 3
ARS
55%
24%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
ARS
2 - 1
NEW
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1978 |
QPR
2 - 1
ARS
42%
27%
31%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |