Ipitanga vs Vitória da Conquista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipitanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
IPI
4 - 0
BAH
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
FLU
0 - 0
IPI
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
IPI
3 - 2
ITA
42%
26%
33%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
IPI
1 - 1
CFC
51%
23%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
MDE
1 - 0
IPI
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
VIT
84%
11%
6%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
MDE
54%
23%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ALA
2 - 1
VIT
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
FEI
1 - 1
VIT
40%
25%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VIT
3 - 0
POC
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |