Ipatinga FC vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BOA
0 - 4
IFC
36%
25%
40%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
USC
2 - 0
IFC
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 0
AME
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
DEM
1 - 4
IFC
25%
24%
50%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
IFC
3 - 2
AMF
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
ATM
4 - 0
CAL
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CAL
4 - 0
VIL
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
AMF
4 - 0
CAL
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 1
UBE
37%
27%
37%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 2
CRZ
6%
17%
77%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | 0 |