Second Division round 19

Inverness CT vs Cove Rangers analysis

Inverness CT Cove Rangers
61 ELO 59
-11.7% Tilt 1.3%
1904º General ELO ranking 2193º
24º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
44.6%
Inverness CT
26.3%
Draw
29.1%
Cove Rangers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
Inverness CT
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
29.1%
Win probability
Cove Rangers
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Inverness CT
-7%
+58%
Cove Rangers

Points and table prediction

Inverness CT
Their league position
Cove Rangers
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
10º
34
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Cove Rangers
34
59
46%
Inverness CT
22
59
34%
Arbroath
34
55
18%
Stenhousemuir
35
53
22%
Alloa Athletic
30
51
14%
Queen of the South
32
50
18%
Kelty Hearts
31
47
21.5%
Montrose
25
41
22%
Annan Athletic
24
39
25.5%
Dumbarton
10º
8
38
10º
41.5%
Expected probabilities
Inverness CT
Cove Rangers
Promotion
31% 46%
Promotion play-offs
60.5% 41%
Mid-table
8% 12.5%
Relegation play-offs
0.5% 0%
Relegation
0% 0.5%

ELO progression

Inverness CT
Cove Rangers
Arbroath
Montrose
Stenhousemuir
Annan Athletic
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Inverness CT
Inverness CT
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2024
STE
Stenhousemuir
0 - 1
Inverness CT
ICT
34%
27%
40%
62 57 5 0
14 Dec. 2024
ICT
Inverness CT
0 - 2
Arbroath
ARB
52%
26%
22%
63 55 8 -1
07 Dec. 2024
MON
Montrose
2 - 3
Inverness CT
ICT
37%
26%
37%
62 57 5 +1
30 Nov. 2024
COV
Cove Rangers
2 - 0
Inverness CT
ICT
29%
23%
49%
63 55 8 -1
16 Nov. 2024
ICT
Inverness CT
1 - 0
Alloa Athletic
ALL
39%
27%
35%
62 61 1 +1

Matches

Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Dec. 2024
COV
Cove Rangers
2 - 0
Alloa Athletic
ALL
36%
25%
39%
56 60 4 0
14 Dec. 2024
COV
Cove Rangers
0 - 0
Kelty Hearts
KHE
51%
23%
27%
56 54 2 0
07 Dec. 2024
BLA
Annan Athletic
1 - 1
Cove Rangers
COV
33%
24%
44%
56 50 6 0
03 Dec. 2024
COV
Cove Rangers
0 - 3
Stenhousemuir
STE
55%
24%
21%
57 55 2 -1
30 Nov. 2024
COV
Cove Rangers
2 - 0
Inverness CT
ICT
29%
23%
49%
55 63 8 +2