Inverness CT vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
22.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
10º
1º
31
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
9º
|
10 | 57 |
1º
|
25% | |
|
|
1º
|
31 | 56 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 54 |
3º
|
12.5% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 54 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 54 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 50 |
6º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 48 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 44 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 39 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 37 |
10º
|
42% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
25% | 20.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
46.5% | 43% |
|
Mid-table
|
26% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inverness CT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
ICT
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
COV
2 - 0
ICT
29%
23%
49%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 0
ALL
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
COV
1 - 2
ICT
38%
25%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 1
KHE
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 1
QOS
42%
26%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 1
QOS
42%
24%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 1
COV
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
ARB
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
ARB
1 - 0
STE
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |