Ayacucho FC vs FC San Marcos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+196%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PIR
3 - 1
AYA
19%
22%
59%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JPC
2 - 3
AYA
14%
18%
68%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2024 |
AYA
1 - 0
COM
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
CAN
4 - 3
AYA
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
4 - 3
AYA
22%
23%
56%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
FC San Marcos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
FSM
0 - 1
CAN
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PIR
1 - 0
FSM
60%
21%
19%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
1 - 0
JPC
70%
16%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
COM
5 - 0
FSM
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FSM
4 - 3
AYA
22%
23%
56%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | +2 |