Inter vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
LIV
1 - 1
INT
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
BOL
5 - 0
INT
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
INT
0 - 0
NOV
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
35%
25%
40%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
INT
4 - 0
GEN
71%
16%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
TRI
1 - 0
NOV
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
NAP
1 - 0
TRI
52%
23%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
TRI
6 - 2
GEN
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
JUV
1 - 1
TRI
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
TRI
0 - 0
LAZ
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |