Inter vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
NAP
0 - 2
INT
47%
23%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
INT
0 - 0
TRI
75%
15%
10%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
JUV
1 - 0
INT
61%
19%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
INT
0 - 1
PAD
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1955 |
GEN
4 - 3
INT
30%
24%
46%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1956 |
SPA
1 - 0
GEN
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
SPA
2 - 0
PAD
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1956 |
FIO
0 - 0
SPA
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1956 |
SPA
1 - 2
TOR
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1955 |
SPA
1 - 2
NAP
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |