Inter vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1961 |
BIR
2 - 1
INT
45%
22%
33%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
SPA
1 - 3
INT
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
INT
1 - 2
BIR
73%
15%
12%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
JUV
9 - 1
INT
76%
14%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
INT
0 - 0
BOL
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
CAT
0 - 1
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 1
VIC
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SPA
3 - 2
LAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 2
PAD
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 2
FIO
27%
25%
48%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |