Inter vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
13.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 1
INT
27%
26%
47%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
SAM
0 - 4
INT
55%
20%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
INT
7 - 1
FIO
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
TRI
2 - 0
INT
36%
26%
39%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
INT
1 - 1
PAD
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1949 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PAD
63%
19%
18%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
JUV
4 - 1
LAZ
75%
15%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1949 |
LAZ
2 - 1
NOV
67%
18%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
FIO
4 - 0
LAZ
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SAM
43%
22%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |