Inter vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.7%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
11.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
BOL
0 - 1
INT
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
INT
3 - 2
JUV
61%
20%
20%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
LAZ
1 - 4
INT
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1933 |
INT
3 - 0
ACM
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
LIV
2 - 2
INT
33%
24%
43%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 1933 |
CAS
2 - 2
FIO
23%
22%
55%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1933 |
FIO
2 - 0
LAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1933 |
JUV
5 - 0
FIO
75%
15%
11%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1933 |
FIO
2 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
19%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1933 |
LEO
7 - 2
FIO
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |