Inter vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
4.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.8%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.6%
7%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7%
4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1932 |
INT
3 - 1
PRO
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1932 |
JUV
6 - 2
INT
63%
20%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1932 |
INT
2 - 0
LAZ
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1932 |
GEN
0 - 1
INT
53%
23%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
INT
0 - 0
BAR
88%
7%
4%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1932 |
CAS
0 - 1
ACM
32%
23%
45%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1932 |
CAS
1 - 5
BOL
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1932 |
TRI
2 - 2
CAS
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1932 |
CAS
1 - 1
TOR
19%
20%
61%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1931 |
MOD
4 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |