Inter vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1942 |
NAP
0 - 1
INT
33%
25%
43%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
INT
1 - 0
MOD
74%
15%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
LIV
3 - 0
INT
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
FIO
4 - 1
INT
51%
22%
27%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
INT
0 - 1
LAZ
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1942 |
BOL
2 - 2
LAZ
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1942 |
ACL
2 - 1
BOL
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
BOL
1 - 0
TOR
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
TRI
1 - 0
BOL
34%
27%
40%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1942 |
BOL
2 - 0
VNZ
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |