Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 2-3
Internacional vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
FOR
5 - 1
SCI
32%
28%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
SCI
22%
28%
51%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
SCI
2 - 2
SPO
82%
14%
5%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2021 |
SCI
0 - 0
REA
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
SCI
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
NAU
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
SCI
22%
28%
51%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 1
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 1
FLU
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
JAC
76%
16%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | -1 |