Recopa Sudamerica Final
Global 0-4
Internacional vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
FLA
4 - 0
SCI
39%
26%
35%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
COR
2 - 0
SCI
37%
27%
36%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
SCI
0 - 0
VIT
67%
20%
13%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SCI
44%
25%
31%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2009 |
COT
1 - 0
SCI
23%
26%
52%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
LIG
2 - 0
NAC
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 1
LIG
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
LIG
1 - 1
CUE
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 2
LIG
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LIG
4 - 0
TEC
71%
18%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |