Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 1-2
Internacional vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
SCI
55%
25%
21%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
SCI
41%
28%
32%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 1
SCI
39%
28%
33%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
SCI
1 - 2
JUV
65%
21%
15%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SCI
1 - 2
VAS
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CEN
4 - 2
SAR
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 0
SCI
41%
28%
32%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
CEN
0 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2024 |
GOD
1 - 1
CEN
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
CEN
1 - 1
LAN
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |