Internacional vs Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
6.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
SCI
2 - 0
COL
78%
14%
9%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1982 |
ATM
2 - 1
SCI
60%
24%
17%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
SCI
2 - 3
FLA
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
COR
1 - 0
SCI
49%
28%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1982 |
FLA
1 - 1
SCI
72%
17%
10%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1983 |
COL
2 - 0
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
BRA
3 - 2
BOT
28%
25%
48%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
GOI
1 - 0
BRA
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
GRE
1 - 2
BRA
79%
14%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1981 |
BRA
1 - 3
OPE
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |