Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Last 16
Global 1-0
Inter de Limeira vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
32.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Inter de Limeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
INT
1 - 1
ECA
67%
21%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
ECA
0 - 0
INT
20%
30%
50%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
POA
0 - 0
INT
26%
29%
45%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
INT
1 - 0
COS
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 0
INT
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 2
CRA
67%
23%
11%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 1
NOV
21%
27%
52%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NOV
3 - 0
DEM
76%
18%
6%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SER
1 - 2
NOV
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
POR
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |