Instituto vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
RSA
1 - 0
INS
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
INS
2 - 0
CSE
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
RIE
2 - 3
INS
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
INS
1 - 0
AND
50%
27%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
GIM
1 - 0
INS
40%
29%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CHI
2 - 4
ALM
55%
27%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SMA
2 - 1
CHI
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 1
RSA
50%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CSE
0 - 0
CHI
31%
28%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CHI
1 - 0
RIE
63%
23%
15%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |