Instituto vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
23.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
GAF
1 - 1
INS
31%
28%
42%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
INS
2 - 2
CHA
48%
26%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
RSA
1 - 0
INS
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
BEL
0 - 0
INS
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 0
INS
16%
26%
58%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
IRV
3 - 1
GBR
68%
21%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
ATT
2 - 0
IRV
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
IRV
1 - 0
DAL
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
FER
1 - 0
IRV
36%
31%
33%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
IRV
2 - 0
CCS
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |