Instituto vs Dep. Riestra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
CEN
4 - 1
INS
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
INS
0 - 0
EST
18%
25%
58%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 0
INS
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
INS
1 - 0
COL
27%
28%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 0
INS
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
RIE
2 - 1
GIM
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
FER
2 - 2
RIE
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ALD
1 - 1
RIE
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2023 |
RIE
2 - 2
RAC
39%
30%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
RIE
46%
27%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |