Instituto vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
68.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
RAC
2 - 1
INS
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ARG
1 - 2
INS
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
INS
1 - 1
BAN
21%
28%
51%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
CAI
0 - 1
INS
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
INS
1 - 1
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
RIV
1 - 0
ARG
84%
12%
4%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
BAN
2 - 2
RIV
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
RIV
3 - 2
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
RIV
1 - 1
RAF
79%
15%
7%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
TAL
3 - 2
RIV
29%
26%
45%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |