Ingolstadt 04 II vs VfB Eichstätt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
33%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
10º
1º
43
1º
16º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
46 | 72 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 70 |
2º
|
30% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 69 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 67 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 56 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 54 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 50 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 49 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 44 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 42 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 34 |
16º
|
30.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
66% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 15 |
18º
|
90.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
44.5% | 29.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 30% |
|
Mid-table
|
28.5% | 40.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ingolstadt 04 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WEI
0 - 2
ING
29%
22%
49%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ING
2 - 1
TSV
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ING
1 - 1
ASV
61%
20%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 3
ING
23%
22%
55%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ING
5 - 2
NEU
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Eichstätt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
TSK
1 - 4
EIC
7%
16%
77%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
EIC
0 - 0
WEI
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
EIC
4 - 2
TSV
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ASV
1 - 1
EIC
22%
22%
55%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
EIC
3 - 0
BAY
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |