England U21 vs Poland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1998 |
LUX
0 - 5
ENG
13%
21%
66%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1998 |
ENG
1 - 0
BGR
58%
23%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1998 |
SWE
0 - 2
ENG
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1997 |
ITA
0 - 1
ENG
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1997 |
ENG
1 - 0
MDA
68%
20%
12%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Poland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1998 |
POL
5 - 0
LUX
79%
13%
7%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
BGR
2 - 2
POL
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1997 |
GEO
5 - 1
POL
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1997 |
MDA
2 - 3
POL
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1997 |
POL
2 - 2
GEO
65%
20%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |